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27.05.201609:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical analysis of USDX for May 27, 2016

Long-term review

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The Dollar index is pulling back as we initially expected at least for the short term. Price is holding above the short-term support of 95.20-94.95 area but I continue to believe we might see a deeper pullback towards 93.30 if support at 94.35 fails to hold.

Blue lines - bullish channel

The Dollar index has broken out of the bullish channel and is testing Kumo (cloud) support. The tenkan-sen (red line indicator) has crossed below the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) providing us with a short-term reversal signal. My short-term target is the 38% Fibonacci retracement.

The daily chart is showing reversal signs as price is being rejected by the daily Kumo (cloud). If and when price breaks below the tenkan-sen (red line indicator) at 95, we will have the first confirmed short-term reversal signal. Stochastic is overbought and turning lower. I expect the weakness in the Dollar index to continue. A shallow pullback and a push to new highs will be an extraordinary strength sign for the Dollar that should not be ignored.

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