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On May 16, a bullish pullback towards 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) was expected to offer a valid signal to sell the USD/CAD pair. However, a lack of a significant bearish rejection was manifested during recent consolidations.
On May 18, temporary bullish fixation above 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) opened the way towards the 1.3180 level where significant bearish pressure was originated.
Bearish persistence below 1.3000-1.2970 (61.8% Fibonacci level) was needed to enhance bearish momentum in the market.
However, on August 18 signs of a bullish recovery were manifested around the price level of 1.2830, which led to the current bullish breakout above 1.3000.
The USD/CAD pair was trapped between the price levels of 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) and 1.3360 (50% Fibonacci level) until a bullish breakout took place three weeks ago.
Note that the USD/CAD pair was challenging the upper limit of the depicted flag pattern around 1.3360-1.3400 which failed to apply enough bearish pressure on the pair.
However, significant bearish engulfing weekly candlestick was expressed by the end of the last week indicating strong resistance around 1.3550.
Bearish persistence below the price level of 1.3300 (61.8% Fibonacci Level) is needed to enhance further bearish decline towards 1.3200 and 1.3090.
Otherwise, bullish breakout above 1.3360 will probably liberate a quick bullish movement towards 1.3650 (low probability).
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