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17.10.202505:18 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Forecast for October 17, 2025

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

EUR/USD

The euro is rising for the fourth consecutive day. The gap at 1.1741 is close to being filled, and slightly above it lies the key target level at 1.1779. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line is breaking into the territory of an uptrend. The current outlook appears optimistic, but correlated markets are signaling a possible reversal: yesterday, the S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, oil dropped by 1.48%, and the yield on 5-year U.S. Treasuries fell from 3.61% to 3.53%. If this trend continues, even at a slower pace, the euro is unlikely to reach 1.1908 (the upper boundary of the price channel).

Exchange Rates 17.10.2025 analysis

Today, eurozone inflation data for September will be released. The forecast for the CPI is an increase from 2.0% y/y to 2.2% y/y. If this forecast proves accurate, the euro could reach the 1.1779 target within two to three days. However, if the price falls back below the MACD line (1.1660), the euro might become stuck in a sideways range—similar to the pattern observed in August ahead of the September Fed meeting. Now, markets look ahead to the next Federal Reserve meeting, which is just over a week away.

Exchange Rates 17.10.2025 analysis

On the four-hour chart, the price continues rising above the indicator lines. The MACD line is beginning to curve upward, while the Marlin oscillator shows a downward bias. These mixed signals—especially on a Friday and on the day of a major CPI release—create ideal conditions for closing long positions.

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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