empty
 
 
You are about to leave
www.instaforex.eu >
a website operated by
INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Open Account

25.01.202113:15 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Another Leg Down

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

EUR/USD is trading in the red at 1.2153 erasing the early morning's gains. USDX's rally pushed the pair down in the short term. Fundamentally, the greenback could appreciate versus its rivals due to better than expected US manufacturing and services data.

The Flash Manufacturing PMI increased from 57.1 to 59.1 points beating 56.6 expected, while the Flash Services PMI jumped to 57.5 from 54.8, even if the specialists have expected a drop to 53.3 points.

USD could edge higher ahead of FOMC Meeting on Wednesday. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its monetary policy unchanged in the first meeting of this year.

EUR/USD Rebound Seems Over!

Exchange Rates 25.01.2021 analysis

EUR/USD has printed a bearish engulfing pattern on the H4 chart. A new bearish candle could confirm this pattern and could signal a deeper drop in the short term. Last week I've told that the pair will be expected to come back down to reach the ascending pitchfork's lower median line (lml) after failing to hit it in the last attempts.

The price was rejected by the 23.6% level, so dropping and stabilizing below the Pivot Point (1.2137) and under the median line (ML) of the minor descending pitchfork will probably attract more sellers.

Technically, a larger drop, correction, will be activated and confirmed by a drop below the 38.2% retracement level, by a new lower low.

Forecast & Tips!

Selling will be possible again from below the 1.2053 former low. A bearish closure under this level signals a further drop towards the 1.19 level. The bearish pressure remains high as long as the price stays under the 1.22 psychological level.

Technically, a larger corrective phase could be invalidated only an upside breakout above the upper median line (UML) of the descending pitchfork. EUR/USD is traded far below this upside obstacle and that's why a downside movement is favored right now.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024

Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.




You are now leaving www.instaforex.eu, a website operated by INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.

Turn "Do Not Track" off