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04.07.201916:28 Forex Analysis & Reviews: July 4, 2019 : EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

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Exchange Rates 04.07.2019 analysis

Since February 28, the EURUSD pair has been moving within the depicted downside channel with slight bearish tendency.

Short-term outlook turned to become bearish towards 1.1175 (a previous weekly bottom which has been holding prices above for some time.

On the highlighted period between (May 17th and June 5th), temporary bearish breakdown below 1.1175 was demonstrated on the chart.

This allowed further bearish decline to occur towards 1.1115 where significant bullish recovery brought the EUR/USD pair back above 1.1175 which stands as a prominent DEMAND level until now.

Initially, Temporary Bullish breakout above 1.1335 was demonstrated (suggesting a high probability bullish continuation pattern).

However, the EURUSD pair has failed to maintain that bullish persistence above 1.1320 and 1.1275 (the depicted price levels/zones). This was followed by a deeper bearish pullback towards 1.1175 where significant bullish price action was demonstrated on June 18.

The EURUSD looked overbought around 1.1400 facing a confluence of supply levels. Thus, a bearish pullback was initiated towards 1.1275 as expected in a previous article.

Further Bearish decline below 1.1275 calls for a deeper bearish pullback towards 1.1235 where the lower limit of the newly-established bullish channel as well as a prominent demand zone come to meet the EUR/USD pair.

Overall, Short-term outlook remains bullish as long as bullish persistence above 1.1235 (Demand-Zone) is maintained on the H4 chart.

Otherwise, any bearish breakdown below 1.1235 invites further bearish momentum to push towards 1.1175 as an initial destination.

Trade recommendations :

For Intraday traders, a valid BUY entry can be considered anywhere around 1.1235. Initial Target levels to be located around 1.1275 and 1.1320.

Bearish breakout below 1.1200 invalidates this mentioned scenario.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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