18.08.202117:01 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD Hot Forecast on August 18

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GBP/USD staged a modest recovery from multi-week lows amid subdued USD demand.
COVID-19 jitters, risk-off mood and an uptick in the US bond yields helped limit USD losses.
A combination of factors acted as a headwind for the GBP and capped gains for the major.

GBP/USD is trading around 1.3750 after UK CPI missed estimates with 2% in July. Worries about global growth are weighing on the sentiment. Investors await the Fed's meeting minutes and hints about tapering.

The pound/dollar pair has tumbled below the 200 Simple Moving Average on the four-hour chart, adding to the bearish sentiment. The downside momentum is also in place. However, bulls may find solace in the fact that the Relative Strength Index is flirting with the 30 level – the threshold for oversold conditions. That implies a recovery, yet the bounce has been a dead-cat one.

Support awaits at 1.3725, the fresh August low. The next noteworthy cushion is only at 1.3640, which capped cable when it was trading on low ground in mid-July. Further down, 1.3595 is the next level to watch.

Resistance is at 1.3785, which provided support last week. It is followed by 1.3630 where the 50 and 200 SMAs hit the price.

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