30.01.202006:02 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on January 30, 2020

GBP/USD

Yesterday, the British pound, in anticipation of today's decision by the Bank of England on monetary policy, traded in a small range, which only strengthened the technical signs of an upward price movement. On the daily chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator outlined a reversal up and thereby formed a wedge with the same probability of exiting from it in any direction.

To break this triangle down, the price needs to gain a foothold at the Fibonacci level of 161.8% (1.2968), the target of the movement will be the Fibonacci level of 138.2% at the price of 1.2820. If the triangle breaks up, prices will go above 1.3070. In this case, the MACD line will be the target level, located near the Fibonacci level of 200.0%, near the price level of 1.3220. Moreover, growth may not stop there.

On the four-hour chart, the signal level 1.3070 corresponds to the MACD line. This strengthens the significance of the level. The driver of the movement, obviously, will be the outcome of the Bank of England meeting. Changes in monetary policy are unlikely to be, as the economic situation in the UK remains neutral, and today's meeting will be Mark Carney's final for the central bank, his term of office will expire. The main intrigue in the distribution of votes for maintaining the rate. The consensus forecast is 3-6 versus 2-7 at the last meeting, but the forecast range itself is wider, up to 4-5, and it is precisely such a voting result that can send the pound to growth much higher than the first target 1.3220.