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By buying bonds, the Bank of England has effectively suspended its planned quantitative tightening (QT) program. Given that the Fed intends to continue its super-tight monetary policy cycle, which will further strengthen the dollar, we should expect a resumption of decline in GBP/USD. At the same time, new bursts of volatility in the GBP/USD pair are not ruled out since the BoE intends to carry out large-scale purchases of government bonds daily until October 14 during the period announced (from 13:15 to 14:45 GMT).
As of writing, GBP/USD is trading near the level of 1.0863, remaining in the zone of both the short-term—below the resistance levels 1.0998 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart), 1.1438 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), and the long-term—below the resistance levels 1.2165 (144 EMA on the daily chart), 1.2380 (200 EMA on the daily chart) of the bear market.
The breakdown of today's local support level 1.0764 will be a signal to open new short positions.
Alternatively, a breakdown of the resistance level 1.0998 may provoke a further corrective growth of the GBP/USD, up to the resistance levels 1.1438 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), 1.1585 (50 EMA on the daily chart). Further growth looks unlikely so far, while the US dollar is at the highs of the last 20 years. In general, the downward dynamics of the GBP/USD remains, despite the current upward correction.
Thus, for now, short positions remain preferable.
Support levels: 1.0764, 1.0700, 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0400, 1.0353
Resistance levels: 1.0998, 1.1438, 1.1585, 1.1700, 1.2165, 1.2380
Trading Tips
Sell Stop 1.0760, Sell Limit 1.0995. Stop-Loss 1.1020. Take-Profit 1.0700, 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0400, 1.0353
Buy Stop 1.1020. Stop-Loss 1.0760. Take-Profit 1.1100, 1.1200, 1.1300, 1.1400, 1.1430, 1.1500, 1.1585
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