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12.07.202318:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for GBP/USD for July 12-13, 2023: sell below 1.30 (strong resistance - overbought)

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Exchange Rates 12.07.2023 analysis

Early in the American session, the British pound (GBP/USD) is trading around 1.2966 above the 6/8 Murray and below the psychological level of 1.30. We can see a strong upward movement. The instrument is expected to reach the area of 1.30 in the next few hours and this could be seen as an opportunity to sell if the pound falls below this level.

The US inflation data was encouraging which raised the possibility that the Fed could hit a pause button on its interest rate hikes for the next few months. Such prospects are beneficial for the US dollar. Therefore, we saw a strong bullish movement in the British pound.

According to the 4-hour chart, the British pound is overbought and a technical correction is expected to occur in the coming days towards the 21 SMA located at 1.2867 and even towards the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.2860.

Should the British pound break the psychological level of 1.30, it could find strong rejection at the 7/8 Murray level around 1.3061 which could be seen as an opportunity to sell.

On the other hand, after a sharp break below the uptrend channel and below the 21 SMA, we could expect a correction towards the 4/8 Murray located at 1.2695 and the 200 EMA located at 1.2670.

Our trading plan for the next few hours is to wait for GBP/USD to reach the 1.30 or 1.3061 resistance zone to sell with targets at 1.2867 and 1.2817. The Eagle indicator is giving overbought signals. Hence, a technical correction is imminent in the next few hours.

Dimitrios Zappas
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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