19.01.202311:12 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EURUSD: The Fed is preparing a +0.25% rate hike on February 1

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EURUSD

The latest U.S. inflation reports showed a clear decline in inflation.

In particular, on Wednesday, January 18, the Producer Price Index wholesale price growth fell 0.5% compared to November.

A week earlier the retail prices showed a -0.1% decline.

In parallel, economic indicators are declining - retail sales fell in December, -1.1%, the second consecutive month of declining sales. The real estate market is falling - new construction. Industrial activity has been declining for two straight months. This boosted investors' hopes of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate-hikes and a stock market rise of about +5% since the beginning of the year.

Recently, however, several Fed officials have said that the US central bank should continue to hike rates, by +0.25% in early February. And by the end of the year, bring the rate up to 5.00 - 5.25% from the current 4.00 - 4.25%.

This caused the euro to fall from its high on Wednesday. However, the euro will probably try to go to 1.1000 again, but that is probably a profitable area to start selling.

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