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22.03.202309:09 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on March 22

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Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The pair tested 1.2246 at a time when the MACD line was just starting to move below zero, which was a good reason to sell. This led to a price decrease of about 15 pips. No other market signal appeared for the rest of the day.

Exchange Rates 22.03.2023 analysis

Although the data on net borrowing in the UK public sector failed to support pound on Tuesday, there is a chance for the price to increase today as upcoming CPI data in the UK could trigger growth as long as the figures exceed expectations. The upcoming FOMC decision could also lead to a sharp weakening of dollar and further rise in pound, provided that the committee refuses to raise rates at the meeting. The accompanying statement and economic outlook will provide insight into future monetary policy.

For long positions:

Buy pound when the quote reaches 1.2249 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2281 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth is possible if inflation in the UK is reported to have increased, as that will certainly force the Bank of England to raise interest rates. However, when buying, make sure that the MACD line is above zero or is starting to rise from it. Pound can also be bought at 1.2223, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2249 and 1.2281.

For short positions:

Sell pound when the quote reaches 1.2223 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2183. Pressure may return if inflationary pressure eases. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line is below zero or is starting to move down from it. Pound can also be sold at 1.2249, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2223 and 1.2183.

Exchange Rates 22.03.2023 analysis

What's on the chart:

The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the GBP/USD pair.

The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.

The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the GBP/USD pair.

The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.

MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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