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Early in the European session, the Euro (EUR/USD) is trading around 1.0555, below the 21 SMA, and below the 200 EMA. We can observe a strong technical correction after the Euro reached the level of 1.0694. If bearish pressure prevails, the euro could reach the psychological level of 1.05.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel formed since October 3, could push the euro towards the key zone of 2/8 Murray located at 1.0498. In case this scenario comes true, a strong technical rebound is expected around this area and the euro could resume its bullish cycle. The instrument could reach 3/8 Murray around 1.0622 up to 4/8 Murray 1.0742.
According to the H-4 chart, the euro is strongly overbought. So, a technical correction is likely to offer relief and be seen as an opportunity to resume buying.
In the next few hours, the decision on the monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) will be published. Regarding the interest rate, it is expected that there will be no changes and it will remain at the current 5.5%. This data could offer strong volatility to the euro and it could rebound strongly, only if it falls towards the 1.05 area or consolidates above 1.0550.
On the other hand, in case the Euro fails to break the uptrend channel, it is expected to trade above the current price levels and we could expect it to rise and reach 1.0620 and 1.0742.
We can expect the euro to reach the resistance zone of 1.0620 only if it manages to stay above the daily pivot point (D_pivot) located at 1.0573. From this level, we could expect it to rise and reach the top of the uptrend channel around 1.0694.
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