31.01.202415:02 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on January 31 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD

Further decline became limited because the first test of 1.2670 took place at a time when the MACD line moved downward quite strongly from zero. As for the second test, it provoked a buy signal, which resulted in a price increase of over 25 pips.

Although the Fed meeting will affect the direction of pound, a similar meeting of the Bank of England on Thursday could change the situation. Nevertheless, a firm stance by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will push dollar up, resulting in a decline in GBP/USD. If he takes a different stance, the pair will increase, as expectations of a rate cut in the US will strengthen.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2696 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2745 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after weak data from the US and a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2665, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2696 and 1.2745.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2665 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2617. Pressure will increase in the case of strong US labor market statistics and a firm stance from the Federal Reserve.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2696, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2665 and 1.2617.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.