23.01.202513:15 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAG/USD. Silver Still Has a Chance to Break the Downtrend

Silver has encountered significant resistance from the downward channel near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), interrupting a three-day winning streak that had pushed prices to the psychological level of $31.00.

From a technical perspective, the $31.00 level represents a confluence barrier, combining the 100-day SMA and the upper boundary of a multi-month downward channel. This barrier is a critical turning point. A decisive break above it could pave the way for further short-term gains. Given that oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, the XAG/USD pair could overcome intermediate resistance at $31.25 and rise toward $31.50. The momentum may then continue, reclaiming the psychological $32.00 level and targeting the December high near $32.30.

On the other hand, any further pullback is expected to find solid support near the 200-day SMA, attracting buyers around the $30.00 psychological level. A convincing break below this level could leave the XAG/USD pair vulnerable to accelerated declines toward the $29.60 level, before eventually dropping to the round figure of $29.00 and potentially retesting the multi-month low reached in December.