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18.02.202512:37 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/NZD. Analysis and Forecast

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Exchange Rates 18.02.2025 analysis

The AUD/NZD pair is showing a strong rebound from its more than one-week low around 1.1075, reached during the Asian session. Currently, spot prices are trading above 1.1130, marking a 0.50% increase from the previous day and remaining close to the multi-month high recorded last week.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 25 basis points, from 4.35% to 4.1%, marking the first rate reduction since November 2020. This move was widely expected and already priced in by the market. In the absence of additional dovish signals, the Australian dollar is strengthening, supporting the AUD/NZD pair's upward momentum.

Meanwhile, the New Zealand dollar continues to underperform amid expectations of a third substantial rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) later this month. This further fuels demand for AUD/NZD, sustaining its uptrend.

Traders will now focus on the RBA press conference, where RBA Governor Michelle Bullock's remarks could impact the Australian dollar's outlook. Market participants should stay alert to key statements, as they may shift market dynamics.

Technical Outlook

From a technical perspective, oscillators remain in positive territory and are far from overbought levels, suggesting that the pair has room to establish a new monthly high.

Irina Yanina
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

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