06.03.202518:56 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD: Analysis and Forecast

Gold is attracting sellers today, yet it manages to hold above the $2,900 level.

Despite selling pressure, gold remains above $2,900 as market sentiment shifts toward riskier assets. The recent U.S. tariff concessions on Canada and Mexico have fueled risk appetite, leading to capital outflows from safe-haven assets such as gold. However, the intraday decline lacks strong fundamental backing, suggesting that losses may remain limited.

Investors remain concerned about President Donald Trump's tariff policies and the rising risk of a global trade war. These factors continue to support gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, expectations that Trump's economic policies could slow U.S. growth, prompting the Federal Reserve to implement deeper rate cuts in 2025, are providing further support, preventing a steep gold selloff.

Technical Analysis

A break above the $2,934 level could push gold prices back toward the all-time high of $2,956, recorded in February. Such a move could act as a bullish trigger, reinforcing the long-term uptrend, which remains intact, supported by positive oscillators on the daily chart.

However, the lack of follow-through buying calls for caution before initiating new long positions. Any corrective pullback could be viewed as a buying opportunity near the key psychological level of $2,900. However, if selling pressure intensifies, a deeper decline could target intermediate support at $2,880, followed by the next downside level at $2,855.