10.04.202520:05 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

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Today, gold maintains a positive tone, trading above the $3100 level.

Concerns about the escalation of the trade war between the U.S. and China, along with fears of a global economic slowdown due to tariffs, continue to support demand for safe-haven assets

In addition, rising inflation expectations are further enhancing the precious metal's status as a hedge against price increases. Expectations of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025, along with renewed selling of the U.S. dollar, are providing additional support to gold prices.

However, gold bulls remain cautious and are refraining from opening new positions amid the improved global risk sentiment following the tariff pause announced by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Today, traders are advised to wait for the release of U.S. consumer inflation data for better trading opportunities.

From a technical perspective, bullish oscillators on the daily chart support the potential for further price growth. As such, strength toward a retest of the all-time high near $3168, reached earlier this month, appears quite likely.

On the other hand, weakness below the psychological $3100 level will find support near $3080. Below that, the $3057 level is seen as a key pivot; a break below it would leave gold vulnerable to a decline toward the $3000 psychological support. A decisive break of that level would shift the bias in favor of the bears.

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