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18.08.202608:37 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signals for GOLD on August 18-20, 2026: buy above $4,384 or sell below $4,375 (21 SMA - 4/8 Murray)

Relevance up to 02:00 UTC--4
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Exchange Rates 18.08.2026 analysis

Gold is trading around $4,394, after pulling back from a high of $4,436 reached during the Asian session. This level coincided with strong resistance, which, in turn, could be forming a triple-top pattern, suggesting the bearish cycle is likely to continue in the coming days.

Gold could find strong support around the lower band of the uptrend channel, at $4,384. A technical bounce above this level could be interpreted as a buy signal, and one might expect it to challenge the strong resistance at $4,436 and ultimately reach the 5/8 Murray level, around $4,531.

Conversely, if gold falls below the 4/8 Murray level, the outlook could turn negative, so the instrument could reach the 3/8 Murray level, around $4,220, in the coming days.

Should gold decisively break below the channel formed since early August, and if it consolidates below the Murray 4/8 pivot point, the outlook could be a clear bearish signal, which could be considered a selling opportunity with targets at $4,310, $4,285, and finally at the 200-day EMA, around $4,200.

The Eagle indicator is in negative territory, so we will continue to sell in the coming days as long as the price of XAU remains below the triple-top pattern.

Dimitrios Zappas
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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