07.07.202512:50 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD. Analysis, Forecast, and Current Market Situation

Gold is maintaining a bearish intraday tone today.Oscillators on the daily chart are just beginning to show negative momentum, indicating the potential for further declines in the metal's price.

The XAU/USD pair has repeatedly failed to break above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, leading to a drop in price to the $3300 level. This development is viewed as a renewed signal of bearish sentiment in the gold market. In this case, the price may accelerate its decline toward the next support near $3270, followed by a continued drop into the $3245–3248 level.

On the other hand, the $3324–3325 area—where the 50-period SMA lies—serves as the nearest resistance before a stronger zone around $3342–3343, which aligns with the 200-period SMA. If buyers manage to break through these levels and consolidate above the $3350–3352 level—where the 100-period SMA is located—this would open the door for further gains in the precious metal. In such a scenario, bulls could aim for a return to the psychological $3400 level.