20.10.201416:11 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical analysis of USD/CHF for October 20, 2014

Long-term review

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Fundamental overview:

USD/CHF is expected to trade in a lower range. USD/CHF gains are tempered by the franc demand on buoyant CHF/JPY cross. USD/CHF losses are restricted by the positive dollar sentiment (VIX fear gauge eased 12.74% to 21.99; S&P 500 closed up 1.29% at 1,886.76 Friday) after surprise rise in University of Michigan preliminary U.S. October consumer sentiment index to 86.4 from the final September reading of 84.6 (versus forecast 84.0) and stronger-than-expected 6.3% on-month increase in U.S. September housing starts (versus forecast +4.6%), dovish Swiss National Bank's monetary policy and franc sales on buoyant GBP/CHF cross.

Technical comments:
Daily chart is mixed as MACD is in a bearish mode but stochastics is turning bullish near the oversold zone, inside-day-range pattern was completed on Friday.

Trading recommendations:

The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as far as it remains below its pivot point. Short position is recommended with the first target at 0.9385. A break of this target will move the pair further downwards to 0.9350. The pivot point stands at 0.9500. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, then it will moves above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. In that scenario, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9525 and the second target at 0.9560.

Resistance levels:
0.9525
0.9560
0.96

Support levels:
0.9385
0.9350
0.9315

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