30.04.201212:43 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for April 30, 2012

Long-term review

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EUR/USD: This pair is still bearish in outlook, not yet able to go upwards significantly, following the strong bearish run that happened at the end of the last week. As long as the pair is weak, USD/CHF (which normally gets negatively correlated to the EUR/USD pair) would not be able to go downwards. The price is currently between the support line at 1.1150 and the resistance line at 1.1200. The support line may be breached to the downside but the price may not be able to close below it, because the outlook on the EUR is upbeat.

USD/CHF: The USD/CHF pair continues to go upwards in a determined manner. The bullish movement is slow and gradual, as the price forms a series of lower highs and higher highs in the chart. The price is now above the support level at 0.9600, and it may get to the resistance levels at 0.9650 and 0.9700.

GBP/USD: The outlook for the Cable this week is downbeat and it is not a surprise that the price is showing some signs of weakness. The EMA 11 is below the EMA 56 and the RSI period 14 is below the level of 50. This shows a serious Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart: the price may trend lower from here.

USD/JPY: In spite of the effort of bears, expectations remain bullish. While, it is possible that the price could touch the demand levels at 119.50 and 119.00, the supply levels at 120.00 and 125.00 can also be attained.

EUR/JPY: Although, the current price action shows that this cross is weak, a bullish breakout is expected at any day this week. It may be today, tomorrow, or Friday, but eventually, there would be a rally in the market and the rally could go on for a few weeks. One reason behind this is the expected weakness of the JPY.

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