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10.07.201213:27 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 10, 2012

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 10.07.2012 analysis

Overview:

On April 9, the bearish trend was resumed towards the level of 1.4550 where a lower daily bottom was reached. This is where the ongoing bullish swing was initiated.

A daily closure above 1.5060 exposed the next resistance levels at 1.5400 and 1.5450 where a temporary bearish pullback took place on April 29.

The next bullish swing extended up to the levels of 1.5750-1.5800, which offered traders few valid sell entries (depicted with red arrows). The final bearish target at 1.5450 was already reached.

Recently, strong bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels around 1.5800 via the ongoing bullish swing.

That is why, the resistance level at 1.5800 was temporarily breached. Hence, GBP/USD bulls pursued towards 100% Fibonacci Expansion located around 1.5900 where the depicted successive lower highs were initiated.

Hence, the level of 1.5555 (prominent demand level/depicted uptrend line) got breached due to excessive bearish pressure. This enhanced the bearish side of the market towards 1.5360.

The level of 1.5555 (prominent demand level/depicted uptrend line) got breached earlier this month due to excessive bearish pressure. This enhanced the bearish side of the market towards 1.5360.

As suggested in our previous articles, a bullish pullback towards 1.5550-1.5600 was expected to take place shortly after.

Our suggested sell entry around 1.5600 got triggered. It is still trading around entry levels. Early exit should be considered if the current daily candlestick maintains its closure above 1.5600.

Note that fixation below the price zone of 1.5550-1.5500 is mandatory to pursue towards lower bearish targets, initially at 1.5450.

On the other hand, a better SELL entry with a lower risk/reward ratio will probably be offered around the price level of 1.5780 (the backside of the broken uptrend).

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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